Kenya

Death toll in Nigeria from Lassa fever rises to 163

 The death toll in Nigeria from Lassa fever, a deadly hemorrhagic disease, rose to 163 on Thursday. According to a statement from the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, the Lassa fever outbreak continues to spread across 34 states and the Federal Capital Territory. The Nigerian government previously announced that three medications have been identified for treating the disease. During the dry season, which typically runs from November to May, Lassa fever cases tend to increase. In 2023, a total of 1,227 cases of Lassa fever were detected and 219 people lost their lives. Lassa fever, which is also found in several other African countries like Mali, Togo, Ghana, Liberia and Sierra Leone, was first detected in Nigeria in northeastern Borno state in 1969. On Jan. 23, 2019, the Nigerian government declared a state of emergency due to a Lassa fever outbreak. The disease is transmitted through contact with rat feces, can spread from person to person, and can cause fatal hemorrhagic fever. Authorities are warning the public to avoid contact with rats and other rodents.

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Global wind energy plans fall short of reaching the 2030 target

Countries aim to increase global wind energy capacity 2.4-fold by 2030, but national plans fall short of the UN’s COP28 commitment to triple global renewable energy capacity. London-based think tank Ember analyzed the 2030 wind energy targets of 70 countries and the EU, which account for 99% of the current installed wind capacity, to see if they align with the COP28 goal. The report found that while national targets would double global wind capacity by 2030, they are insufficient to meet the COP28 pledge. Current targets would expand wind energy capacity from 901 gigawatts at the end of 2022 to 2,157 gigawatts by 2030. Achieving the tripling goal requires an additional 585 gigawatts worldwide. Most of the expected increase will come from China, which is projected to triple its wind capacity by 2030 and account for over half of the global increase in wind capacity from 2024 to 2030. However, the U.S. and India face significant gaps between their current targets and the needed increase. Not all countries are falling short. Brazil needs to build 0.3 gigawatts of new wind capacity annually from 2024 to 2030 to meet its 2030 targets. Last year, Brazil set a record by adding 5.3 gigawatts of wind capacity, and the IEA predicts it will add an average of 2.4 gigawatts annually until 2030. Turkey has nearly achieved its goal of generating 12% of its electricity from wind by 2030 and has the potential to set higher targets. Ember Electric Analyst Katye Altieri noted, “Governments are not ambitious or proactive enough, especially in onshore wind capacity. Despite its role in providing cheap electricity and complementing solar energy, wind energy isn’t receiving adequate attention.” Ben Backwell, CEO of the Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC), emphasized that wind energy must be central to the clean energy transition. “Every gigawatt installed is a step towards a greener world. Targets play a crucial role in guiding our direction, but only real actions that meet these targets can effectively address climate change, drive clean industry, and ensure secure energy,” he said.

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Three veterans vie for African Union top job

At least three seasoned African politicians—representing Djibouti, Kenya, and Mauritius—are competing for the position of chair of the African Union Commission. The pan-continental body, comprising 55 member states, will hold elections during its February summit to select a successor to Moussa Faki Mahamat. This year, the role is designated for a representative from East Africa, aiming to replace Chad’s veteran politician, Faki, who has held the position since 2017. Let’s meet the contenders: Mahamoud Ali Youssouf (Djibouti): As Djibouti’s foreign minister since 2005, Youssouf emphasizes his ability to bridge linguistic and regional divides. Fluent in French, English, and Arabic, he aims to promote unity and address pressing issues, including silencing conflicts across the continent. Raila Odinga (Kenya): A seasoned opposition leader, Odinga, 79, has made five unsuccessful attempts to become Kenya’s president. His political journey involved imprisonment and exile as he fought for democracy during President Daniel arap Moi’s autocratic rule. Odinga’s focus is on securing the chairmanship for Kenya and serving Africa. Anil Gayan (Mauritius): Serving as Mauritius’ foreign minister from 1983 to 1986 and again from 2000 to 2003, Gayan brings experience to the race. His diverse background includes roles in tourism and health ministries. Gayan submitted his candidacy last week, adding another dimension to the competition. The deadline for candidacies closed on August 6, but the final list is yet to be released by the African Union, headquartered in Addis Ababa. The election, conducted by secret ballot, requires the winner to secure a two-thirds majority vote among eligible member states. The AU commission chair serves a four-year term, renewable once

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World Bank: 100+ Countries Trapped in “Middle-Income Trap”

The World Bank announced on Thursday that over 100 countries risk falling into a “middle-income trap” unless they implement bold economic growth strategies. Countries such as South Africa, India, Brazil, and China face significant challenges that could impede their progress toward becoming high-income nations in the coming decades. The World Development Report 2024: The Middle Income Trap reveals that as countries become wealthier, they often encounter a “trap” when their GDP per capita reaches approximately 10 percent of the annual US GDP per person. Somik Lall, Senior Advisor to the World Bank Group Chief Economist and Director of the report, noted that the outlook for these countries is bleak. “Over the past 30 years, only 34 middle-income economies have successfully transitioned to high-income status, while others remain trapped,” he said. The study highlights that middle-income countries face tougher challenges compared to their predecessors, including rapidly aging populations, increasing protectionism in advanced economies, and the urgent need for faster energy transitions. It presents a “comprehensive roadmap” to help developing countries escape the “middle-income trap” and achieve high-income status. Lall suggests that countries should abandon outdated methods and adopt a “3i strategy” involving a phased approach with progressively sophisticated policies tailored to their development stage. Low-income countries should focus initially on investment policies (the 1i phase). As the benefits of investment diminish, they should then shift to “infusion,” incorporating global ideas and integrating them into local economies. For upper-middle-income countries, the final phase involves “innovation,” where they strive to become global leaders and producers. Lall emphasized that success will depend on how well societies manage the balance between creation, preservation, and destruction. “Countries that avoid the discomfort of reforms and openness will miss out on the benefits of sustained growth,” he concluded.

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Kenya’s inflation falls in July as food and fuel prices decrease

Inflation in Kenya dropped to 4.3% year-on-year in July, down from 4.6% in June, according to the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics. This four-year low was driven by a stronger shilling and slight reductions in household costs like electricity and fuel. Transport costs increased by only 4% in July, a significant decrease from 7.7% the previous month. Food prices also fell by 0.5% between June and July, although some categories saw sharp price hikes. Despite overall inflation easing, rising costs for items like cooking oil and gas mean that consumers still face financial pressure. The Central Bank may consider a rate cut when the Monetary Policy Committee meets on August 6. In recent months, Kenyans protested against tax hikes and the high cost of living, leading President William Ruto to withdraw a proposed finance bill. Ruto, who assumed office in September 2022, faces challenges including high inflation, debt, unemployment, and post-COVID stagnation, while balancing lender demands and public discontent.

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