With Donald Trump’s return to the White House, Africa faces uncertainty about its future relationship with the United States.
During his first presidency, Trump’s rhetoric often sidelined the continent, referring to some nations in disparaging terms. Yet, despite these tensions, analysts suggest his re-election may not dramatically alter US-Africa relations.
Africa has long been accustomed to neglect in US foreign policy, often caught in the power struggle between Washington, Beijing, and Moscow. President Joe Biden’s delayed visit to Africa this year highlights the ongoing neglect.
Nevertheless, Trump’s transactional diplomacy could appeal to African leaders disillusioned with Western lecturing on human rights and governance.
Trump’s blunt approach to international relations may allow Africa more freedom to seek diverse global partnerships.
China’s growing influence through infrastructure projects and Russia’s mercenary presence have reshaped Africa’s international landscape.
Former Kenyan Prime Minister Raila Odinga emphasized that Africa would welcome Trump if he chooses to engage positively. However, if not, Africa has many other friends.
The re-election of Trump also raises concerns about trade. His proposed tariffs could hurt African exports, especially if the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) is not renewed.
Yet, the larger concern for Africa may be Trump’s trade war with China. As African nations enjoy access to both US and Chinese investments, pressure to pick sides could create friction.
Economists warn that Trump’s protectionist policies could destabilize African economies, with a stronger dollar making capital markets harder to access.
For energy-rich nations like Angola and Nigeria, his support for US oil may lead to lower global prices, hurting their economies.
While Trump’s re-election presents opportunities, it also signals a potential shift in Africa’s international alliances.
As some African nations embrace the BRICS group, analysts caution that Trump’s “America First” policies could push the continent closer to Russia and China.